The Grant Williams Podcast

The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 1 - Demetri Kofinas

This is a brand new podcast series for which I’ve teamed up with my good friend Demetri Kofinas, to explore and understand the changing world around us.

Welcome to The Hundred Year Pivot.

This joint effort is based on a shared belief that we are living through a once-in-a-century reordering - geopolitical, economic, moral, even spiritual. Everything – our families, societies, and governments- depends on us getting it right.

Demetri and I invite you to join us as we develop novel maps and investment frameworks to help us navigate:

• The breakdown of our existing political and social systems of organization and control
• The emergence of new economic, financial, and monetary trading blocks
• The reprioritization of national and economic security
• The channeling of national savings into a new military and technological arms race
• The development of a new investment paradigm with historic implications for investors

Together, Demetri and I will be speaking with the smartest, most thoughtful people we know to help us chart a path through this gathering storm as we seek to position ourselves, our organizations, and our families for the changes to come.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 97 - Marco Papic

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I sit down with Marko Papic of BCA Research to explore the intricate interplay between geopolitics and the global economy. Marko, a good friend and seasoned geopolitical strategist, walks us through his invaluable framework for understanding the preferences and constraints of policymakers—a critical lens for navigating today’s rapidly shifting dynamics—before we dive into trade wars and regional integration in a conversation which delves into how political decisions are shaping financial markets and economic opportunities around the world.

Also discussed the Trump administration’s use of tariffs and trade wars, which Marko analyzes through the prism of U.S. constraints compared to other nations, and Europe’s unique position to capitalize on current geopolitical shifts, particularly through deeper integration and increased investment prospects. Meanwhile, Marko explains why China faces significant challenges in stimulating domestic demand while grappling with risks such as potential conflict over Taiwan. Marko’s insights provide an invaluable guide to understanding the complexities of today’s geopolitical landscape and their far-reaching implications for economies and markets worldwide.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 96 - Kathleen Thelen

This terrific discussion with Kathleen Thelen examines the historical origins and rise of large retail chains and e-commerce platforms in the United States, tracing the parallels between the business models of early mail-order retailers like Sears Roebuck and modern companies like Amazon. Kathleen explainss how antitrust laws and the fragmented regulatory environment in the US enabled the growth of these large, low-cost retailers by making it difficult for alternative models like consumer cooperatives to gain a foothold.

We focus on the reliance on low-wage labor and how the prioritizing of low prices over other considerations has become deeply embedded in the American consumer economy and, as the retail landscape has shifted with the rise of Amazon and other online shopping, she suggests that this business model remains difficult to dislodge due to the coalition of interests – manufacturers, third-party sellers, and consumers themselves – that have come to depend on these large retail platforms.

The importance of the centrality of the American consumer to the US economy has significant implications for the future as factors like inflation, tighter credit, and labor organizing threaten to challenge the dominance of the current retail giants.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The End Game Ep. 55 - Fred Hickey PREVIEW

Joining Fleck and me for the latest episode of The End Game is our mutual friend, Fred Hickey, the renowned High Tech Strategist. As always, Fted offers a compelling analysis of the gold and gold mining markets and, with gold tripling in price since its 2015 bottom and, while recent surges have been driven by geopolitical turmoil, money printing, and central bank buying, Fred cautions that the gold market may be overbought in the short-term and could face a correction.

When it comes to gold mining stocks, Fred is highly selective, favoring well-run companies in safe jurisdictions with high-grade deposits and conservative management and he runs us through his favourites in the sector before the conversation shifts to Fred’s skepticism about the recent hype surrounding AI and generative AI. He views the space as an unsustainable bubble, driven by excessive spending and deteriorating economics at major tech companies and makes several bold prediction around how the AI bubble could lead to a broader market downturn.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 95 - Thomas Thornton

Joining me for the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my old mate Tommy Thornton of Hedge Fund Telemetry and, in a market increasingly driven by speculation and the allure of quick riches, we discuss whether investors are playing a dangerous game as a “gambler’s mentality” grips Wall Street – making excessive risk and leverage the norm. Tommy also challenges the prevailing narrative of ever-rising stock prices and questions the disconnect between market valuations and the underlying fundamentals of many companies.

From Nvidia’s AI-fueled ascent to the precarious perch of Tesla’s insane valuation, Tommy delves into the potential for market volatility to return with a vengeance, and the complex challenges facing the Federal Reserve and the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Narrative Game Ep. 10: Into The Moral Vacuum We Go… - FULL EPISODE

In a thought-provoking return for The Narrative Game, Dr. Ben Hunt and I engage in a candid conversation about the soul of America, exploring the unsettling trends eroding the nation’s moral compass. We dissect the alarming shift toward prioritizing power, efficiency, and leverage over traditional values like justice, liberty, and the common good and together we paint a picture of a society inching closer to totalitarianism, grappling with the rejection of the ideal that the U.S. should be a moral force on the world stage.

Beyond the diagnosis, we offer potential paths forward in these challenging times, as our discussion delves into the importance of building strong, trusted communities and finding solace in religion and spirituality, even for those who may not consider themselves traditionally religious. We highlight the urgent need to combat the erosion of community and shared values, fostering integrity and purpose amidst the rising tide of polarization and cynicism. This episode is a call to action, urging listeners to seek deeper connections and moral guidance to navigate the turbulent waters ahead.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 94 - Ronan Manly FULL EPISODE

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, Ronan Manly joins me for a deep dive into the fascinating world of the gold market. We explore its rich history and intricate structure, from the pivotal roles of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and the COMEX futures exchange in shaping global trade, to the concept of ‘unallocated gold’ and the fractional reserve system that underpins much of the market.
We also examine the recent surge in central bank demand for physical gold, a trend that’s straining delivery systems and causing delays at institutions like the Bank of England. Against a backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions, we discuss how these dynamics could signal a shift away from the US dollar-based monetary system, potentially positioning gold as a cornerstone of international trade or even as backing for new regional currencies.
Finally, we tackle the possibility of a seismic event in the paper gold market—where pricing power might move from London to exchanges like Shanghai—leading to a divergence between paper and physical gold prices.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 93 - Steve Diggle

In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, Steve Diggle of Vulpes Investment Management discusses his return to the volatility trading space after a 14-year hiatus. Steve cites several key factors that have led him to believe the risk-reward dynamic for downside hedging is now more favorable, including elevated market valuations, reduced central bank intervention capabilities, and the unpredictability of the Trump administration.

Steve also provides an update on the biotech industry, which has faced significant challenges in the post-COVID environment. He sees an unprecedented opportunity to invest in promising biotech companies whose valuations have collapsed, though caveat emptor, as the level of complexity and risk involved is significant.

If Steve is right, markets are facing heightened uncertainty that could lead to significantly increased volatility-a situation which makes the timing perfect for his ‘particular set of skills’ as downside protection strategies become first more attractive, and then imperative.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 92 - Adam Rozencwajg

In a fascinating discussion, I sit down with Adam Rozencwajg of Goehring and Rozencwajg to delve into the intricate world of commodity markets and their far-reaching implications for the global economy. The conversation uncovers a hidden dynamic in the financial landscape, where the suppression of commodity markets is fueling a widespread carry trade that has investors heavily leveraged in growth and speculative stocks. As Adam explains, this delicate balance could be on the verge of a dramatic shift, potentially leading to a significant revaluation of real assets.

We also explore the future of energy, with a particular focus on the transformative potential of nuclear power. Adam highlights the promise of small modular reactor technology as a game-changer in the pursuit of clean, safe, and efficient energy sources and addresses the limitations of the U.S. shale boom and its implications for domestic oil and gas production. Finally, the conversation concludes with an exploration of gold’s resurgence as a monetary asset, hinting at possible changes in the global financial system that could reshape the economic landscape for years to come.

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 91 - Andrew McDermott

In this episode I’m joined by Andrew McDermott of Mission Value Partners to explore Japan’s remarkable journey from economic dominance to stagnation and its ongoing revival as a hub of opportunity. Andrew delves into how Japan has adapted to challenges such as demographic shifts and monetary policy constraints while maintaining its global relevance. He argues that Japan’s transformation offers valuable lessons for investors and policymakers alike, and, as Western investors increasingly take note of Japan’s strong corporate management and innovative strategies, our discussion sheds light on why Japan remains an inspiring example of reinvention in a rapidly changing world.

Despite critics long pointing to missteps by Japan’s central bank and corporate culture during this period, Andrew explains how, beneath the surface, Japanese companies have been quietly transforming—streamlining operations, prioritizing quality, and adopting shareholder-friendly practices, to the point where, today, many of these firms are considered paragons of efficiency and governance, attracting high-profile investors like Warren Buffett (who was given a little personal nudge along the road to investing in Japan by none other than Andrew himself).

Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. 

Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.